Acta Metallurgica Sinica(English letters) ›› 2013, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (6): 69-74.

• 通信管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国电信业对国民经济的乘数作用——基于投入产出局部闭模型的测算

  

  1. 北京邮电大学 经济管理学院,北京100876
  • 收稿日期:2013-09-05 出版日期:2013-12-30

Multiplier Effects of China’s Telecom Industry on National Economy
——Estimation Based on Partially Closed Input-Output Model

  1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications,
    Beijing 100876, China
  • Received:2013-09-05 Online:2013-12-30

摘要:

近年来,我国综合通信能力迅速增强,电信行业高速发展。借鉴投入产出局部闭模型的方法,纳入居民部门对国民经济各部门的影响,测算2007年与2011年电信业对国民经济的乘数作用,对数据进行实证分析与研究。数据分析结果表明:电信业乘数作用绝对值从2007年的2.98提高到2011年的4.27,电信业对国民经济的乘数作用在国民经济各部门中排位上升,其增长率高居榜首,高达43.18%,显示出电信业的高度的经济活力和投资前景。

关键词: 电信业, 投入产出局部闭模型, 乘数, 国民经济

Abstract:

In recent years, China’s comprehensive capability of communications is increasing rapidly and the telecom industry is developing fast. Using the partially closed input-output model, the multiplier effects of China’s telecom industry on national economy in the years of 2007 and 2011 are estimated. In addition, empirical analysis of these data is made to research the relationship between China’s telecom industry and the national economy and their change. The results show that the absolute value of the multiplier effects of telecom industry has improved from 2.98 in 2007 to 4.27 in 2011. Meanwhile, the rank of the multiplier effects of telecom industry in all of the industries has risen, and its growth rate ranked first with the number of 43.18%, which shows the strong economic vitality and investment prospect.

Key words: telecom industry, partially closed input-output model, multiplier effect, national economy

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