关键词: 分水岭博弈, 近视理论, 虚拟动态理论, 适应性行为

Abstract: As a special kind of game, the coordination game has received wide attention in the past few years At present,  research on the coordination game mainly focuses on coordination failure and adaptive behavior Aiming at the limitations in the research of Huyck et al, this paper extends myopic best response and fictitious play dynamic To find out the adaptive behavior models for low equilibrium group and high equilibrium group, based on experimental data, different models are used to predict median and individual action in two groups and the accuracy of predicted results are compared Meanwhile, individual adaptive behavior is studied Results show that as to the low equilibrium group, fictitious play dynamic is the most suitable model for forecasting the median, and myopic best response is the most suitable theoretical model for predicting individual action As to the high equilibrium group, fictitious play dynamic is the lowest in the forecast of the median and individual action and most of the subjects based on myopic best response for predicting actions make the maximum hit rate This study enriches the theories of adaptive behavior and demonstrates the importance of unanimity between personal interests and team interests Everyone should treat every choice carefully and refer to valuable information as much as possible, therefore the benefits can be maximized

Key words: median game, myopic best response, fictitious play dynamic, adaptive behavior