JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF POSTS AND TELECOM ›› 2017, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (3): 54-63.

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Non-linear Effects of Investor Sentiment and Stock Market

  

  1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications,
    Beijing 100876, China
  • Received:2017-03-21 Online:2017-06-30

Abstract:  The linearity between investor sentiment and stock returns is tested, and it is found that their relationship shows significant non-linear feature On this basis, structural smooth transition vector autoregressive (SSTAR) model is constructed to demonstrate the non-linear relationship The result shows that investor sentiment is the main factor affecting the stock market First of all, investor sentiment has a significant stimulating effect on the stock market in the bull market, and investors show irrational behaviors Secondly, investor sentiment has instantaneous impact on the stock market in the bear market, and this effect lasts for a short time Finally, stock returns will positively stimulate investor sentiment with short duration and weak strength

Key words: investor sentiment, stock market, SSTAR model

CLC Number: