北京邮电大学学报(社科版) ›› 2017, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (4): 58-65.

• 经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

普惠金融与经济发展的非线性关系研究

  

  1. 武汉理工大学 经济学院,湖北 武汉430070
  • 收稿日期:2017-05-02 出版日期:2017-08-30
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学研究项目(11YJC790151);武汉理工大学自主创新研究项目(2016VI020)

Nonlinear Relationship between Financial Inclusion and Economic Development

  1. School of Economics, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China
  • Received:2017-05-02 Online:2017-08-30

摘要: 基于我国2004—2015年间的时间序列数据,综合运用因子分析法、VAR模型以及Diks- Panchenko非线性格兰杰因果检验法对普惠金融与经济发展之间的非线性关系进行探讨。结果表明:无论线性还是非线性,普惠金融均未有效支持经济发展。从线性来看,经济发展不能有效促进普惠金融;从非线性来看,经济发展水平单向且非线性地影响普惠金融水平的提升,非线性形式具体呈现为“J”型曲线,弹性系数为1673。

关键词: 普惠金融, 经济发展, 非线性相关, 弹性系数

Abstract:  Based on the time series data of China from year 2004 to 2015, the nonlinear relationship between financial inclusion and economic development is discussed by using factor analysis, VAR model, and Diks-Panchenko nonlinear Granger causality test The results show that, regardless of linearity or non-linearity, financial inclusion is not effective in supporting economic development From a linear point of view, economic development cannot effectively promote financial inclusion From a nonlinear point of view, the level of economic development affects the level of financial inclusion unilaterally and non-linearly The nonlinear form is presented as a ′J′ curve with an elasticity coefficient of 1673

Key words: financial inclusion, economic development, non-linear correlation, elasticity coefficient

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