北京邮电大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2012, Vol. 14 ›› Issue (2): 99-.

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基于博弈论的宏观经济政策动态非一致性研究

  

  1. (河南科技学院 新科学院,河南 新乡453003)
  • 收稿日期:2011-12-23 出版日期:2012-04-30 发布日期:2023-03-27

Dynamic Inconsistency of Macro-economic Policies Based on the Game Theory

  1. (The New Academy of Sciences, Henan Institute of Science and Technology, Xinxiang 453003, China)
  • Received:2011-12-23 Online:2012-04-30 Published:2023-03-27

摘要:

通过论述理性预期和动态非一致性理论在宏观经济博弈分析中的发展,分析了政府与公众的动态博弈

过程及宏观经济政策在二者博弈后的结果,最后对我国宏观调控政策提出增强决策透明度,加强制度保障,

健全宏观调控体系等有利于形成良好、准确的公众预期以及减少政策的动态非一致性的建议。

关键词: 理性预期, 动态非一致性, 动态博弈, 宏观经济政策

Abstract:


Abstract:The development of rational anticipation and dynamic inconsistency theory gives the

game theory a deeper meaning in the field of macro-economy When the government formulates

macro-economy policies, the rational anticipation of the public should be fully considered; in

order to avoid the dynamic inconsistency of the policies, it is necessary to establish the

relevant rules and system By studying the development of rational anticipation and dynamic

inconsistency theory in the game of macro-economy, this paper analyzes the process of dynamic

game between the government and the public and discusses its result To form accurate public

expectation and reduce the possibility of dynamic inconsistency, the paper provides

suggestions to the government, including enhancing the transparency of decision-making,

intensifying the system guarantee, improving the system of macro-economic control and so on

Key words: rational anticipation, dynamic inconsistency, dynamic game, macro-economic policies

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