北京邮电大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2013, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (1): 1-6.

• 网络文化 •    下一篇

基于情景规划的未来互联网应用分类

  

  1. (北京邮电大学 经济管理学院,北京100876)
  • 出版日期:2013-02-28 发布日期:2023-03-27
  • 基金资助:

    国家重点基础研究发展计划项目(2012CB315805)

Future Internet Application Classification Based on Scenario Planning

  1. (School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications,
    Beijing 100876, China)
  • Online:2013-02-28 Published:2023-03-27

摘要:

互联网已成为信息社会的基础设施,作为互联网价值根本体现的各种应用层出不穷,在总结互联网应用发展趋势的基础上,运用情景规划的方法对未来互联网应用进行了分析。通过提炼关键趋势、关键不确定点,构建了未来互联网应用的情景矩阵,并阐述了4种应用类型的结构。最后总结了研究的结论和意义,阐述了进一步研究的重点。

关键词: 未来互联网, 情景规划, 应用分类, 典型应用

Abstract:

With the rapid development of information technology in decades, nowadays Internet has become a kind of infrastructure in the information society Applications which can show fundamental value of Internet are keeping emerging On the basis of summarizing the developing trends of future Internet application, scenario planning was used to analyze future Internet application Through extracting key trends and key uncertainties, scenario matrix of future Internet application which describes four kinds of applications has been put forward In the end, conclusion and implication of this research and key points of further study are discussed

Key words: future Internet, scenario planning, application classification, typical application

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