北京邮电大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2023, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (6): 20-34.doi: 10.19722/j.cnki.1008-7729.2023.0130

• 经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于政策驱动的新能源侧配储经济性系统动力学研究

黄逸珺(1969—),女,四川达州人,博士,副教授   

  1. 北京邮电大学 经济管理学院,北京100876
  • 收稿日期:2023-09-01 出版日期:2023-12-31 发布日期:2023-12-28
  • 作者简介:黄逸珺(1969—),女,四川达州人,博士,副教授

Economic Analysis of New Energy Storage Driven by Policies Based on System Dynamics

  1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China
  • Received:2023-09-01 Online:2023-12-31 Published:2023-12-28

摘要: 通过对国内外主要储能政策的综合分析,提炼出典型应用场景下影响储能经济性的核心要素,同时结合双碳目标的政策指导、储能技术发展路径、电力市场潜力等因素的影响,采用系统动力学方法构建新能源发电侧配置储能系统的经济效益演化仿真模型,预测了新能源发电侧配置储能系统具有经济性,并且符合政策发展趋势。研究发现:我国政府部门将加速完善市场机制等政策驱动储能发展,为储能获得市场收益提供更多可能性;储能电站容量、峰谷价差及储能技术成本是影响新能源发电侧配储经济性的重要影响因素。

关键词: 新能源, 储能, 储能政策, 双碳, 系统动力学

Abstract:  Energy storage has been widely applied in the new electric power system because it can improve the regulating ability of the electric power system. Under the existing electricity price and market mechanism, the power generation-side of new energy is facing problems such as uncertain revenue mode of the configuration of energy storage and unclear investment path. Through analyzing energy storage policies at home and abroad, the core elements affecting the economic benefit of the energy storage in typical application scenarios is summarized. By considering the policy guidance of the dual carbon goal, the development path of energy storage technology and the potential of the power market, a simulation model on economic benefit evolution is established by using the system dynamics method. The model predicts that energy storage in new energy power generation-side is economical and conforms to the national policy development. The results show that the government would accelerate the improvement of market mechanism to help the energy storage obtain benefits from markets; the capacity of energy storage, peak-valley power price differences and the cost of technology are important factors affecting the economic benefit.

Key words: new energy, energy storage, energy storage policy, dual carbon, system dynamics 

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