北京邮电大学学报(社科版) ›› 2016, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (4): 77-85.

• 经济与哲学 • 上一篇    下一篇

3D打印产业技术的演变与预测研究#br# ——基于专利主路径分析

  

  1. 1北京邮电大学 经济管理学院,北京100876;2清华大学 公共管理学院,北京100084
  • 收稿日期:2016-03-29 出版日期:2016-08-31
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目(71303130, 71203117, L1524015, 71233005);清华大学绿色经济与可持续发展研究中心研究子项目(20153000181)

#br# Technology Forecasting of 3D Printing Industry#br# ——Based on Main Path Analysis of Patent

  1. 1 School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing
    100876, China;2 School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
  • Received:2016-03-29 Online:2016-08-31

摘要:

 作为新兴产业,3D打印产业在近年来受到了广泛关注,并在诸多技术方向上齐头并进,其当前研究重点及其技术未来应用方向值得进行深入的科学分析与探讨。该研究基于专利主路径分析对3D打印产业技术进行演变和预测分析,以德温特世界专利索引数据库为数据源检索3D打印相关技术专利,结合技术生命周期分析,将3D打印技术划分为三个发展阶段,借助Ucinet软件和Pajek软件分析不同阶段的技术发展主路径。结果表明,3D打印技术在设计与生物组织工程等方面的应用将是未来技术发展与市场应用的重要方向。

关键词:  , 技术演变, 技术预测, 3D打印技术, 专利引文, 主路径分析

Abstract:

As an emerging industry, 3D printing industry has gained much attention in recent years 3D printing technology has been developing fast via different paths in various fields, so its technological focus and trends deserve in-depth exploration Therefore, the 3D printing technology evolution and forecasting analysis is conducted via main path analysis of patent Based on patent documents of 3D printing technology whose priority year is from 1960 to 2013, this paper divides 3D printing technology into three development phases by combining technology life cycle analysis Through using Ucinet and Pajek, the main paths of 3D printing technology in different stages are analyzed The results reveal that patents of 3D printing technology at present are mainly concentrated in the 3D printing methods, equipment and related technology, but have begun to study the application of this technique in biological tissue engineering, etc.

Key words:  technology evolution, technology forecasting, 3D printing technology, patent citation, main path analysis

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